Open Championship: Five Reasons to Back (and Not to Back) Tiger

Ross Aylward - 13 Jul 2009

As if you needed reminding, here are five reasons to back Tiger for this week's Open...

Turnberry produces great champions.
Just look at the last three results here. The 1994 winner Nick Price was the world's leading player at the time time; Greg Norman won the first of his two Opens here in 1986 during his best ever season; while the 'Dual in the sun' between golfing greats Tom Watson and Jack Nicklaus (they pulled 10 shots clear of the rest) in 1977 is the stuff of legend, with Watson winning the second of his five Open titles.

Who can beat him?
With Phil Mickelson a non-runner and links specialists Padraig Harrington, Sergio Garcia and Ernie Els struggling for form, you have to wonder where the opposition is going to come from. Young guns Rory McIlroy, Martin Kaymer and Anthony Kim might be viable alternatives, but they lack experience in Majors.

He's healthy and in-form
The world No.1 has banished any doubts about his form and fitness following an eight month injury lay-off with some very Tiger-like performances. His recent victory in the AT & T National was his third title in eight strokeplay events since returning, and he hasn't finished outside the top-10 in any of them.

He's hitting it straight
As a general rule, when Tiger hits it straight, he wins. And, ominously for his rivals, the most impressive part of his game in recent weeks has been his improved accuracy off the tee.

The Federer Factor
With his best pal Roger Federer going one up on him with 15 Grand Slam titles to Tiger's 14 majors, Woods has even more incentive to win his fourth Open - not that he needs an incentive!

Back Tiger at 9/4 with Skybet

And five reasons not to back him...

He's only just getting it done
Three wins in eight strokeplay events since returning from injury is an impressive strike rate, but he had to come from five strokes behind when winning by one stroke at Bay Hill and, after looking like he would waltz away with the AT & T National, his triumph was more workmanlike than spectacular. That should at least give some hope to his rivals.

Third time unlucky
Woods has now won his three lead-up tournaments to Majors in 2009, but failed to follow up at Augusta and Bethpage.

The host course - Turnberry
The Ayrshire links is the only one on the Open roster that Woods has not played in competition - his first Open, as an amateur, coming a year after Nick Price's victory in 1994. It's also worth noting that his three Open titles were achieved on courses where there is a lack of penal rough - St Andrews (twice) and Hoylake. That certainly won't be the case this week.

The draw
The main defence of any links course is the weather and a bad draw can leave a player at a disadvantage before he's even hit a ball. Think back to this year's US Open when Tiger had to play his first round in conditions that were up to four shots harder than those experienced by the later starters which, ultimately, cost him victory. Don't bet against the draw being a factor this week.

He'll be a bigger price in-play
With no better than 9/4 on offer pre-tournament, the smart play might be to wait until the action gets under way. Tiger's recent win at Congressional was the exception as he could have been backed at significantly bigger odds than his pre-tournament price during both of his other victories in 2009.

Lay Tiger at 3.55 on Betfair


 







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